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A Guide to my Excess Mortality vs. Vaccination Rate Articles

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A Guide to my Excess Mortality vs. Vaccination Rate Articles

Relevant Articles Listed and Links between them explained

Igor Chudov
Nov 18, 2022
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A Guide to my Excess Mortality vs. Vaccination Rate Articles

igorchudov.substack.com

(this post was NOT mass-emailed to save the bandwidth of my readers)

I have recently had some important people reach out to me regarding my articles looking at the effects of Covid vaccines on excess mortality. Since I wrote several articles that involve statistical analysis, things might seem overwhelming to a new reader.

This post will attempt to organize my mortality-related posts and explain their findings briefly to help you find a particular article that addresses a particular data set. I will edit this post as appropriate over time as I publish new articles.

The articles will be listed in reverse chronological order, with links placed liberally to aid the reader. This way, the most relevant stuff will be on top — but they build on each other, so please follow the progression.

I will also link to a few articles by other people.

Covid Boosters are Killing Germans - and People of the World - Equally

This article looks at amazing data compiled by Fabian Spieker. It compares “excess mortality” in German federal lands, called Bundeslands, against booster rates. It finds a strong relationship between boosters and excess mortality.

Igor’s Newsletter
Covid Boosters are Killing Germans - and People of the World - Equally
Dear subscriber: this article took quite a bit of work to write and it is my Christmas present to you. Please consider giving ME a Christmas present also and buy a paid subscription to my Substack. You can cancel after a month if funds are tight — I will understand and will not even know you cancelled …
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3 months ago · 91 likes · 59 comments · Igor Chudov

The weird thing is that the EQUATION for excess mortality is almost the same as for the entire world by country!

World:   Excess Mortality = 0.1675 * Booster Rate + 0.02387
Germany: Excess Mortality = 0.1732 * Booster Rate - 0.047

Look at how similar the fits for Germany and the world are:

This strongly suggests that the relationship is NOT spurious.

Excess Mortality is Worse Than It Seems

Igor’s Newsletter
Excess Mortality is Worse than It Seems
My close relative has a childhood friend. That friend’s younger sister died suddenly, as I just learned. Nobody knows why exactly why her sister died. This is the closest that “sudden death” happened to me, and I hope for no more such personal news…
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4 months ago · 520 likes · 360 comments · Igor Chudov

This article explains that excess mortality in young people is WORSE than it appears. Why? Because many of young people’s deaths happen due to non-medical reasons. Medical deaths are experiencing a much more dramatic increase!

Guesstimating Relative Risk of Mortality by Vaccination Status

Igor’s Newsletter
Guesstimating Relative Risk of Mortality by Vaccination Status
Summary: This post is my attempt to find the relative risk of mortality by vaccination status based on two completely different data sets involving tens or hundreds of millions of people that give surprisingly similar estimates of relative risk. (For those who like to ask, “what is the bottom line,” I calculated that the…
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4 months ago · 421 likes · 365 comments · Igor Chudov

This article estimates that the relative risk of dying among vaccinated people, compared to similar unvaccinated people, can be guesstimated by bringing together two data sets. It makes a guesstimate of the mortality risk ratio as being 40% worse for the vaccinated people.

It notes that I previously analyzed excess mortality based on two completely separate data sets:

  • Excess Mortality by Country

  • Excess Mortality by UK Deprivation Quintile

The linear relationships from completely disparate analyses are exceptionally similar:

Using the red “by country” line above, the article makes a straightforward relative risk calculation by imagining a completely unvaccinated country Unvaxedland and a completely vaccinated country Vaxedland.

Turns out that the risk of dying for residents of Vaxedland is 40% greater than for residents of Unvaxedland.

Association Between Vaccines and EXCESS MORTALITY Getting Stronger -- and is Discussed in UK Parliament

Igor’s Newsletter
Association Between Vaccines and EXCESS MORTALITY Getting Stronger -- and is Discussed in UK Parliament
While we will be discussing the most unwelcome news of increased death rates, I am happy to report that a leading British Member of Parliament, Andrew Bridgen brought up, in the UK parliament no less, the relationship between vaccination and excess deaths…
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5 months ago · 701 likes · 761 comments · Igor Chudov

This article notes that excess mortality in vaccinated countries is quite correctly mentioned by the UK Parliament member Andrew Bridgen in an official Parliament vaccine hearing! I point out that perhaps Mr. Bridgen saw my “proven relationship” article from Aug 30, which proved the existence of a positive relationship between vaccination rates and excess mortality by country.

Since two months passed after the proven relationship article, I re-analyze the relationship between excess mortality and vaccination using a similar data set that is moved two months forward. We compare excess mortality in countries with their vaccination rates. The linear regression is stunning:

The linear regression above shows that the vaccination rate explains 49% of excess mortality and that the relationship is highly statistically significant (P < 0.0001 is extremely significant).

What is worse, compared to a similar analysis two months before, the relationship has gotten STRONGER in terms of explanatory power (R squared), as well as steepness of the slope.

My post explains that it is very unusual for such a relationship to strengthen over time and shows that something very strange is going on. It explains that regular poisons do not work like that (their effect wears off over time as opposed to strengthening), but carcinogens work exactly like that.

Lastly, the article asks for an investigation into excess mortality on an individual level, something we need to do if we want to save millions of lives.

Is UK's Depopulation Caused by Covid Vaccines?

Igor’s Newsletter
Is UK's Depopulation Caused by Covid Vaccines?
Introduction This article will show that Excess mortality in the UK, across deprivation quintiles, is almost entirely explained by Covid vaccination rates by quintile. Covid vaccination rate explains 94% of the differences and the relationship has great statistical significance P=0.0052…
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5 months ago · 558 likes · 699 comments · Igor Chudov

This post analyzes UK excess mortality by deprivation quintile and finds a strong relationship between excess mortality and quintile vaccination rate.

Interestingly, within one country, the vaccination rate explains 94% of the variation of excess mortality by quintile. Scary!

PROVEN RELATIONSHIP: COVID Boosters and Excess Mortality in 2022

Igor’s Newsletter
PROVEN RELATIONSHIP: COVID Boosters and Excess Mortality in 2022
This article will show that there is a very strong statistically significant association between excess mortality in 2022, and uptake of COVID boosters. The booster rate as of Jul 1 explains excess deaths in 2022, by country, using linear regression with R^2 = 40% and P-value an incredible 0.0002…
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7 months ago · 512 likes · 493 comments · Igor Chudov

This article looked at the relationship between COVID booster uptake, or vaccine uptake, and excess mortality, using Our World in Data for boosters and Short Term mortality database mortality data you can download. I had to write a custom Perl script to analyze the data.

Turns out that the relationship is extremely statistically significant, with booster uptake at just one moment explaining 40% of the variation of excess mortality and vaccine uptake explaining 27% of the same.

Here’s the chart:

Boosters Now PROMOTE Covid Deaths in Europe

Igor’s Newsletter
Boosters Now PROMOTE Covid Deaths in Europe
This article will show that since June 1, 2022, when Ba.5 variant took over the entire Europe, boosters are PROMOTING Covid deaths. Unlike before, boosters do not “prevent severe outcomes”. In fact, starting this summer, boosters make severe outcomes MORE likely…
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8 months ago · 633 likes · 528 comments · Igor Chudov

This article looks at the history of the relationship between booster uptake and mortality in Europe. It finds that in the early period of Jan 1-Mar 31, boosters REDUCED excess mortality. In the intermediate period Mar 1 - May 30, boosters did not affect excess mortality. In the last period of Jun 1-Jul 23, boosters were significantly associated with positive excess mortality.

Other People’s Articles

Prof. Norman Fenton and Martin Neil fact-checked some of my posts and made incredible discoveries.

Where are the numbers?
The Devil's Advocate: An Exploratory Analysis of 2022 Excess Mortality
Watch now (26 min) | Making fact-checking a habit Igor Chudov got in contact recently asking us to fact-check his analysis on the world-wide link between vaccinations and excess deaths. His substack gives a thorough description of his results, but basically it wasn’t good news for the covid-19 vaccines and worse news about their effects on mortality…
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3 months ago · 30 likes · 11 comments · Norman Fenton and Martin Neil

Hartgroup posted an original and fascinating analysis of deaths by country. Dated Nov 11 (archive link in case the article gets somehow deleted). They look at similar data and, not surprisingly, arrive at conclusions similar to mine. An incredibly well-written analysis.

A German author, @olafgarber posted a fascinating thread on Oct 21 (archive link). Use Google Translate to read it.

Twitter avatar for @olafgarber
olafgarber @olafgarber
P.S.: Das gute Abschneiden von Schweden auf der Graphik zeigt, dass es auch einen zusätzlichen Zusammenhang zwischen schwere der Maßnahmen und Übersterblichkeit geben könnte. Hypothese: Länder die 2020 mehr Durchseuchung zuließen haben jetzt weniger Sterblichkeit trotz Booster.
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12:35 PM ∙ Oct 21, 2022
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A Guide to my Excess Mortality vs. Vaccination Rate Articles

igorchudov.substack.com
21 Comments
A Midwestern Doctor
Writes The Forgotten Side of Medicine
Nov 18, 2022Liked by Igor Chudov

What people who make these argue against claims like yours often fail to recognize is that the data necessary to properly evaluate the correlation suggested here are being deliberately withheld. People often like to argue that "correlation is not causation" and that "there is no evidence for the claims [Igor] is making" but they failed to recognize that one of the foundational principles of evidence-based medicine is to utilize the best available data, and since the evidence we need is being withheld, this is the best available data in the most "evidence based " way to approach this question.

When you have an extremely concerning correlation, the burden of proof is on the other side to either disprove your correlation or just stop utilizing the causative agent. By instead simply stating there is no evidence vaccines are doing this without providing a better data set which shows otherwise, they are engaging in pseudoscience, which is what industry always does to sell their unsafe and ineffective products.

On a different note, I am presently working on an article about the increase in RSV and influenza from the vaccines. I remember that you wrote something about this happening in Australia a while back, but I was not able to find the article you wrote. Would it be possible for you to link me to it? Thank you!

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Alice
Nov 18, 2022Liked by Igor Chudov

I saw an interview with Ed Dowd talking to Mike Adams. His approach has been focusing on the employed 18-65 year olds that have group life benefits through their employer. This traditionally has been a healthier population but in Q3 2021 when the mandates were in full swing this group suffered extremely high mortality numbers, as high or higher than the rest of the population. It would have been the group most affected by mandates, employers with over 100 employees mandating the vaccinations. He is still tracking insurance and now the funeral industry. One large funeral company had 15% vs the 1% they expected growth. Now we are seeing the gaslighting in the media that pollution etc. can cause heart attacks. Hopefully the low uptake is indicative that the country is at least sick of taking shots that don’t stop transmission. I am constantly disappointed and shocked by the amount of people I come across that have no idea these shots have caused any significant issues including those in the medical profession.

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